Bread of Adversity and water of affliction… And yet, there are celebrations! Ik Muo, PhD.

 

Vigil@ the ATM;  OOU @ 40, Ugwumba @ 80

When I read this verse about 30 years ago, I wondered what the people did to the extent of being served this heartless dish described as bread of adversity and water of affliction (Isaiah, 30:20). I also sympathised with the people in arrears as I wondered what it would be like when neither the food nor the water could give  succour. Now, I have seen it live; I am a living witness as the Government, which promised to lift us from top to bottom has served us in concrete terms, this bitter dish  in the form of excruciatingly long queues for the troika of fuel, cash and PVCs  under this  oppressively hot sun!. To further complicate matters, Nigeria, the largest concentration of black people across the world has in the process become the global headquarter of ‘whitemarket’, with the historical black-market in its own currency, Naira, which sells at a margin of up to 50% depending on the desperation of the buyer and the heartlessness and greed-quotient of the seller. Before then, there were black-market injunctions, judgements, security operations, certificates, pastors and bishops, subsidies et al.  Nigerians have moved from ordinary distress, to A-Level distress, to multidimensional distress and finally to this current level of officially dished bread of adversity and water of affliction

 However, before the expose on this  unpalatable dish,  we shall interrogate some interesting developments around town. In 2016, Tony Momoh authorised us to stone them (APC) if they failed to perform after two years.  Nigerians in their kindness and church-mindedness patiently waited for 7 years and then started stoning. So, why are people blaming the unknown stone-men for starting today, what they should have started in 2017? Meanwhile at the height of the campaign in 2015, Fashola urged Nigerians to support the APC  with the proviso to them out if they failed to perform.  Of course, the author and finisher of BATism had  recently admonished Nigerians to take power from them by all means and  ‘vote them out’. We are awaiting the verdict of Nigerians on 25/2/23. It is also funny that when the stoning in the northern hemisphere occurred, the first complaint and condemnation was from PDP but when Chimaroke, a PDP member, was suspended in Enugu State, the first complaint  and condemnation came from the APC quarters. You see why I always talk about APDP. And of late, Tinubu’s diatribe is never complete until he throws punches at ‘him or them’: the leaders and members of his party! And E’lRufai  has now seen the light and supports him spiritedly.  Sure, our oppressors are ‘eating their own flesh’(Isaiah, 49:26)

 I was at Okota-FESTAC axis of  Lagos over the weekend and I saw several emergency ndi-Igbo with red-caps and even titles. These include Ganiyu Johnson, Ladi Ajomale, Lanre Sanusi, Saheed Aregbe and Deacon Segun Adewale, who goes by the title: ‘Anya Ndi-Igbo of Lagos State’! I don’t blame them. This is the season of election, when people suffer from pretend-brotherhood. Afterall PMB was crowned the Ogbu-Agu of Aba  in 2015, and this ‘chiefness’ was renewed in Imo State on 14/2/23. Tinubu’s son was also crowned in Anambra just the other day. It was reported that the military had gone after the informal members of the Jagaban Army, under the command of Oluomo at Oshodi. But on Friday, 3/2/23 I passed through Oshodi-Oke and they were FULLY on duty, with more ferociousness.  But methinks they should have gone for the official Jagaban army before looking for the black-market ones! The Nigerian calendar would soon be restructured by legislative fiat to accommodate June 31st, the date when the Senate proposed that the currency swap should end. And then, PMB is not the only one madly in love with Niger. Kwankwaso has just carried his presidential campaign to Niger-Republic, in continuation of his ‘consultations especially his Afrocentric foreign policy’.

 Neo Nd’Igbo  Chiefs Adewale & Buhari; the  formal Jagaban army

Wike  is still trending: he had cancelled the permission granted  to PDP to use the Amaseimeka stadium. Last week, he had warned them not to dare him because he would cancel the permission and that heavens would not fall. I think they dared him or he woke up from the wrong side of the bed and decided to cancel it so as to know if the heavens would fall! And he followed it with a midnight invasion and demolition of an emergency venue being arranged by PDP, saying it was on Government land. 30 Atikulators were also arrested in PH,  arraigned and sent back to prison till 22/3/23 when the case would be heard and they blamed Wike who  responded: ‘wetin concern agbero with overload? Go ask  the police’! Wikeism at its highest!   Of course, PDP has wisely cancelled its PH Presidential campaign while Wike had just secured a court order restraining  the PDP from expelling him. And as in the rat and lizard scenario I mentioned last time, Ikpeazu’s preferred candidate lost out in the PDP Secondaries conducted subsequent to the death of its  gubernatorial candidate(They had done the primaries before). PDP National Chairman, Iyorcha Ayu has just affirmed what we all know: That  the  PDP brought untold hardship to Nigerians. He should have added that the APC took it to the over-graduate levels! And there is this beautiful ‘gal  named BOO, running for  State Assembly  at  Ijebuode.  She does not bother about political philosophy, or promises, or record of past performances. She just posts beautiful pictures in different postures, different attires and different places, showcasing her beauty and that is that. And I ask:  Is this a political contest or a beauty contest? Anyway, at least, I noticed her! 6000+ PVCs and NINs were retrieved from foreigners in the recent times and Lagos REC has announced that he had no choice than to use the services of Oluomo, a certified APCian and core BATist in the distribution of electoral personnel and materials. We could jolly-well store the materials at Bourdillon; after all there are vaults there and that was why it witnesses a good traffic of Bullion-Vans.

My beautiful friend, ‘BOO’   Abandoned old notes      Give us fuel

Back to real business! We have been served an incomprehensible dish by the APC/PMB government of the day, even though many APCians are making futile efforts to distance themselves, belatedly from their ruining party, where a dog-eat-dog scenario is at an advanced level.   We all know the situation of things. People sleep at the fuel stations or queue for 12 hours to buy fuel, which is being sold at N185 and N400 by stations sharing fences in the same economy. On 3/2/23, when I was at the queue for 3 hours a colleague-in-suffering left his car for his wife and joined the cash queue across the road. By the time I left three hours later in protest against the sluggish queue and blistering sun, he had neither cash not fuel.

I no go-go today; war at ATM queue      Fuel for gen: from cans to tanks!

Camping in the bank ;                 My money now or…

And the best that PMB, the Minister of Petroleum, with a ALL the executive powers at his disposal  could do was to set up a committee. But before you go for fuel, you go to the bank, sleep at the ATM so as to get a tally and still spend the whole day where the bank would give you N500, N1000 or at most N5000, if you are lucky. Yet some of us have enough bundles to throw at parties, ( where you can buy any amount from local currency hawkers); some can access the new gold in millions while even the bandits  and our ‘japa-ed’  brethren  are making mockery of us, by displaying intimidating amounts of the new currency. And you see Nigerians going naked, jumping on top of the counter, weeping unabashedly, attacking the banks and bankers,  fighting @ ATM galleries, threatening to commit suicide, and going to the banks with their mattresses and cooking utensils, keeping day and night vigils… in desperation and frustration! I wish that  Prof Awojobi or Gani Fawehinmi were to be alive; it would have been good to take on the banks for not paying money on demand and see if they could plead force-majeure!   Some have to intimidate others with native-doctor  work-attires so as to gain attention; at least one person has slumped and died within a banking hall  and many have been turned emergency beggars as they cannot transport, feed or treat themselves. I was involved in the last currency exchange done by this same Buhari and I thought that we had seen the worst. Sacks and heaps of the disgraced old notes  were carelessly   abandoned everywhere as the cash-deadline got nearer; some  Kaduna  Bandits rejected the old notes while those in Kebbi shared as much as N100000 apiece to travellers, asking them to exchange if they could.

Naira-abuse suspect, spraying it in bundles, Pastor’s gift for members, Bandits showing it off

Many people now reject transfers and even the transfers  have become epileptic. On 15/2/23, I was ‘detained’  at Mobli fuel-station along Lagos-Ibadan expressway, until  the transfer was confirmed. The fidelity of our banks has been badly damaged because they can no longer pay on demand.  The reputational damage done by the CBN, in addition to those caused by Emefiele’s  abominable presidential bid and his ding-dong with DSS, is incalculable. The difference between ‘cash at hand’ and ‘cash at bank’ has become very glaring while a multidimensional blame-trading model  between the banks, bankers, presidency, APCians and DSS is at work, with some banks being accused of hoarding, some being arrested for the act while some swore by their balls that  they don’t have any.   Sherif Almuhajir , the MD of Yobe MFB accused the Banks in Yobe of diverting N4.3bn disbursed to them arguing that  the N700m given to  less than 50 ATMs in the state could not have been utilised within so short a time. And them,  under this wrenching circumstances, some heartless policemen extorted N300,000 from a driver  in Uvwie LGA of Delta state, over tinted glass permit!

And for the first time in history, ‘hard Naira’ is being  bought in Nairex Market with e-naira’, where the premium varies from 10% to 50%. I have already told my biggest customers (provisions and fruits) to open ledgers and accumulate the bills  for me to settle when to amount becomes meaningful. How can I do transfer for a N50 purchase? Bankers have suddenly turned from the beautiful brides to endangered species and have been forced to dress down while banks are being attacked. The rich now have to live as if they were poor because in the absence of cash to throw about and fuel to galivant aimlessly, they can no longer oppress the lesser mortals. They cannot even spray because the one caught spraying is in detention as I write. And we had a cashless valentine! Even kidnapping has ebbed; no money to be transferred and even the kidnappers have no fuel to operate!  My sister just paid N4500 to send N12000 to her son at the NYSC camp!

Worse of all, the politics of it all has overwhelmed the existential challenges and wrenching suffering, which we are going through. Governors have undertaken a march on the rock  asking for the suspension of the cash-swap policy  just as some parties threatened to boycott the election if the policy was extended by a second while many APCians are alleging  coordinated internal sabotage and BAT  together with the  National Association of BATist co-led by ElRufai and Gbajabiamila, saying it was targeted against him. Ganduje even accused Emefiele of  trying to punish the APC for losing his abominable presidential bid. Even the hailers have turned wailers as  Oshiomhole complained of buying fuel at N1000/Ltr, condemning the tainted subsidy regime in the process ; ElRufai had treasonably asked his people to ignore the currency swap sine the incoming government of BAT would cancel the policy while Igbokwe,  LASG  Adviser on gutters and allied matters was stranded at the bank and was asking ‘who is doing this?’ If  he asks me, whom I go ask?

Meanwhile, the cash-swap policy was introduced by an APC government and is being enforced by  the CBN governor who is a certified APC stalwart. Some APC governors went to Supreme Court which appears to be suffering from  executive-capture to overturn the policy and the matter is being ‘countermoted’ in court by an APC Attorney General and Minister of Justice who is perceived to be a key member of the APC dominated CABAL! So how can a house divided against itself stand?( ark,3:25) Meanwhile, Shehu Sani had said that if some governors from the East had gone to court over this matter, they would have been roasted for being IPOBians! And to complicate matters, some APCians have called for the postponement of the election being organised by APC because of fuel and cash wahala being caused by policies introduced by APC! There are rumours that this cash-crunch is another way to enforce the cashless policy and to  minimise the monetisation of the elections I have three comments: You do not force people to change! Change is a persuasive affair and in the process, you must address the WIIIFM question( What Is In It For Me). Secondly, I learnt they tried this trick sometimes in India. Emefiele should ask his research department to find out how this policy faired in India. Thirdly, the politicians have  a good quantity of hard Naira ( though not as much as they would like) and the original hard currencies to execute their electoral monetisation agenda. There would be an impact but I doubt if it would justify  subjecting the people to this level of suffering and strangulating a wobbling economy.  CBN says that its  10/2/23 deadline stands but that people could deposit at CBN branches. However, with the stringent conditionalities introduced by CBN and the revelation by Rewane that we have N2.5trn cash shortfall, it is obvious we are in for tougher days ahead. And with the CBN deposit window now open, I have seen videos of ordinary Nigerians invading the CBN with acks, I mean large sacks of expired naira notes. From where? They did not go with SUVs or police/military escorts or bullion vans!

 Onitsha market traders idling away on 6/2/23: no cash, no fuel, no business

As at 15/2/23, it was chaos, war and uncertainty across the land. CBN announced that the old notes were no longer legal tenders; Supreme Court announced that it was still a legal tender; some people were accepting and some people were rejection the notes and some governors were ordering their people to accept the discredited notes or punishing those who rejected it. The banks directed customers to the CBN while the CBN redirected the people to the commercial banks. Banks at Olabisi Onabanjo University were closed. Even the court registries in Lagos had rejected the old notes, despite the Supreme Court ruling! And there were riots across the land, especially at Edo and Delta states. The tension, frustration, desperation was not about depositing the old notes; it was about the new notes. And I ask, where are the notes? People feel that the government deliberately demonitised them, tricking them to surrender their old notes without giving them the new notes. And the only the  President could do via the much awaited broadcast of 16/2/23, was to praise the policy, plead for our patience and  re-legalise the N200notes! One bad-belle friend of mine said the N200 note received a reprieve because of the 2 cows in it!

Lucky N200, bridal dance wit Acct Number, Poorwater with POS, cashless valentine

 I agree with PMB that the policy is working( his speech contains the 1001 benefits): A superstore proprietor told me on 15/2/23 that 99.9% of his sales were through e-Naira! I had  wanted to source some h-Naira( the hard Naira or  REAL cash) from him. I have also been forced to acquire the ATM when it was the only source of accessing cash. Funny enough, a day after I acquired the prized possession,  cash vanished from the ATMs. I have also ‘seen’ a poor water vendor clutching a POS terminal and a  lady engaged in the bridal dance boldly clutching her account number: to flee from DSS/CBN trouble and  to give no room for escape for those stingy fellows who would use cashlessness as the alibi for not spraying her. It is now e-spray! Nasty Blaq also praised the policy, saying it has saving man from fulfilling their obligations( dates, cash, gifts) to main and side chicks!  That is an evidence that the policy is working. Even unrepentant debtors now have an alibi

     The Nouveau-rich           bankers as  endangered species; So,    Where is the CASH?

We have almost forgotten the PVC wahala, for which my sister had to leave the house at Midnight the day she eventually got her own. And the greatest singsong in Lagos  is ‘PVC not found’! Some people are alleging political ethnic-cleansing. It has also become obvious that we have abandoned the long-term strategic PVC quest in favour of the immediate  needs of Fuel and Cash. Of course, it is natural, you have to survive today before thinking of tomorrow

A new set of emergency millionaires, nouveau-riche  in big grammar has emerged in the process-bankers, fuel attendants, POS opertors and Naira-hawkers(if you are lucky to escape the DSS raids) and to a lesser extent, PVC-clerks. We have all been subjected to a triangular circle: queue for bank to collect cash, with the cash, queue for fuel and with that, drive to the PVC queue. This reminds me of my days at UI: ZikHall to Department to Library! It also made the 2023 valentine a queer and unique one: no cash to give, no network to transfer money and no fuel to take anybody out. It was a silent-Valentine!

Sure, we have been served  the bread of adversity and water of affliction and I agree with the young lady who suggested that Nigerians  should be given a two-week all-round leave at the end of Buhari’s tenure. The BOOK says that In  prosperity, people lose their good senses; they behave no better than dumb animals.( Ps 49:20). God wanted us to borrow sone senses just before the elction and that is why the cash matter has become the last plague preceding the exodus and ultimate freedom

Celebrations

    OOU at 40; the imposing Senate Building,             Ugwumba @ 80, with IgboUkwu Stakeholders

These are unusual times but life goes on. Congratulations to OOU for its 40th anniversary. It isn’t easy and if you want to know how far we have come in the past 40 years,… Come and see( John, 1.39). Our active Corporate affairs department will make your visit worthwhile!

 And then, one of the key players in Corporate Nigeria, Chief Ikechi Ezeh, Ugwumba Igbo-Ukwu, Chairman of John Holt PLC, proprietor of Christopher University, Chairman of Igbo-Ukwu Community Bank, Chairman of Esut Business Council( Promoters of ESUT Business School, a renowned Corporate and Social entrepreneur turned 80 the other day.  This is not a mean feat in a nation where life expectancy is 50+. Congratulations Ugwumba as we pray to get up to that age.

 


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 Ik Muo, PhD. FCIB. Department of Business Administration, OOU, Ago-Iwoye. 08033026624

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