Audacious terrorists: where is our deadline& Were the train kidnappees released or rescued? Ik Muo, PhD.

 

The red-line in military parlance is a warning to the enemy to expect extreme response if    they crossed ‘point-x’, which may be geographical, or operational. I heard that term in the hay days of   Syrian crises when the US warned al-Asad and his allies that applying chemical weapons against the anti-government forces would be crossing the red line. By the way, how come everything suddenly became dead-quiet on the Syrian front? What happened and who won the war? Anyway, just the other day, Jake Sullivan, the US National  Security Adviser promised Rusia  that ‘catastrophic consequences’ awaited  them if they applied nuclear weapon in their  expansionist  enterprise in Ukraine.   Red-line is thus a situation in which a nation tells the aggressors, thus far and no further.  Such a nation may be directly at war or in sympathy with those at war. And we know that Nigeria is at war, both the one brought at its door step by a diverse but related array of favoured  insurgents (BH, ISWAP, bandits, kidnappers)   mostly in the North and the one  that the government itself has declared in the South-East. So, in this war against insurgency, what, where or when  is our red-line and  when will the red-line response be activated?

I ask this question because our traducers, (I will generically term them bandits), have gone beyond what any government, even an unserious one, should tolerate or overlook. They not only indulge in noisy gyration where angels fear to tip-toe; they are issuing orders to the government and the citizens with audacity and impunity. They tell the government what to do; they tax the helpless citizens and give them deadlines, and they strike in such a way that ridicules the competence and determination of our  security forces. On march 28,2022,  the audacious bandits bombed a Kaduna-bound train and killed 8 Nigerians on the spot, one of whom was Chinelo Maegafu, a medical doctor, who was billed to japa (escape  from Nigeria) few days thence. And since then, they have been ‘retailing’ the captives, for as much as N100m apiece.  Luckily and to the glory of God, one of my sons took the train-route to Kaduna earlier on that day. Ransom-bearing relatives reported that the soldiers on the route were taking a piece of the cake, assuring them that the bandits would not bother because they understood.

Before then, they had set up a permanent camp on Kaduna-Abuja highway, where they attacked and kidnapped people at will, with embarrassing regularity. Of course, that  was the  reason for the increased train traffic. And on one of those occasions when the army acted, a more embarrassing scenario emerged. Some times in April 2022, soldiers arrested some bandits along Kaduna-Abuja highway, and made a public show of  the episode. I told some jubilatory Nigerians that the bandits would soon repent, be rehabilitated and reabsorbed and the matter would end just like that. However,  what happened was different,faster and more bizarre than I predicted. The following day, the police announced that there was a mistake; that the people captured and loaded into their trucks by soldiers were not bandits but ordinary herdsmen. How come our soldiers moved without intel, attacked and captured the wrong people, made a lot of noise about it and then made a U-turn…just like that? The shame of a nation. And while the attack was carried by soldiers, the denouement was done by policemen and as I had predicted, the matter had ended. Of course, it is very difficult to differentiate the herdsmen from the bandits and probably, at times, they are the same people, changing their identities as the need arose. And while some people are arrested, interrogated and released, because of mistaken identity, in other places like Awomamma,( Imo State)  people were killed  before questions were asked, if need be.

The bandits had also had the audacity to attack the Kaduna Airport in broad day light. It was then that people started asking openly why they wanted to cut Kaduna off from Abuja and indeed from the rest of the country because they took over road, rail  airport and  as somebody suggested, even  the astrophysical route to Kaduna. You will recall that they had attacked the Nigerian Defense Academy  in the past, where they abducted a soldier. People were and are alarmed about the porous security situation in Kaduna because   the state has the highest concentration of defense  institutions  in the country including 1 Division of the Nigerian Army, NDA, Nigeria Army Depot, Command and Staff College, Airforce Training School, Defense Industries Corporation, Army School of Artillery, Nigerian Police College, School of Military Policy, and Naval School of Armament. Around that period, they attacked the advance presidential convoy in Kastina State where they murdered two policemen and  capped it all by promising to  abduct the president.

It was in the midst of all these that the attack on Kuje prison occurred. It would be recalled that the powerful bandits had demanded the release of their comrades in exchange for the abducted train passengers, who had  become their cash-cows. The attack, which was the most embarrassing assault on our security architecture, involved an armada of motorcycles with about 300 armed men, and lasted for about 3 hours. There was no counter attack; no bandit was felled and none of their numerous motorcycles was seized. The bandits had time to give sermon to the prisoners, gave them some cash, and successfully released ALL the BH members,  some of whom had been there for the previous 20 years. 65 FULLY-armed security personnel were on guard before the attack on the celebrity prison (it had hosted Orji Kalu, Olisa Metu, Fani Kayode, Ahmed Fintri Abdulrasheed Maina and Farouk Lawan)  that had neither CCTV  camera nor concrete walls, while several security reports about possible attack had been written. Of course, nobody  resigned and nobldy was held accountable..

People wondered how the bandits were able to locate and release their comrades; how they escaped the various military check-points and why the various military formations in Gwagwalada,  Mogadishu  and Lungi could not rise to the occasion. Yul Edochie lamented that while it was easy for terrorists to free their comrades from our prison, it was difficult for our soldiers to rescue citizens from the terrorists’ dens. And then while the Senate declared that our security system had failed  the President, who left for a foreign tour on that  very day queried how terrorists could organize, acquire weapons, attack military installations and get away with it.   If the senate was lamenting and the President was raising questions, what do they expect we, the people, to do? If they ask me, ‘who I go ask?’

 So, this question  about our redline  is asking directly, ‘when should Nigeria strike the final and deadly blow on these deadly rascals, whom this government has  now accepted that they are terrorists’? I say ‘accepted’ because some of them are our misguided brethren; some are fighting liberation wars against the oppressive state structure, some are just trying to feed themselves while a good number of them have REPENTED and were speedily deradicalized and rehabilitated.  About 80000 repentant terrorists are now in military custody, including Bashir Bulabuduwaye,  the chief executioner of BH, who  surrendered   with his family to the troops of Operation Hadin Kai  in Borno State on 12/9/22. He has a very good professional record, having executed about 1000 Nigerians and abducted countless others  more, including several security operatives . This is in addition to 1600 ‘Repentant Terrorists’ whom according to the great Lai, had learnt trades and were released into the society.  I ask this question because these terrorists have crossed all reasonable boundaries and had breached the threshold of governmental leniency.  The attacks on Kaduna Airport, Train AK9, coupled with the  wholesale kidnapping, torture and retailing of the passengers, the embarrassing attack on Kuje prison and the daring  attack on the presidential advance party in Kastina are enough to activate the red-line  policy.

     The executioner…. Owo Massacre                                                           ElRufai: On top of the situation!

Even if these were not enough,  we have had  the Owo  massacre at St Francis Catholic Church, in which at least 40 were felled; the  daylight attack on  mining site at of Shiroro, Niger State, killing 37 soldiers, seven Mobile Policemen and six civilians while four Chinese miners and other residents were abducted; the murder of 30 vigilante members in Gidan Dan Ina, Zamfara state, the kidnap of 80  people in Kwari Village in JIbya LGA of Kastina state and 29 wedding guests in Zamfara as well as the sacking of 30 communities in Zamfara. The terrorists were audacious enough  to ban political activities in some Kaduna communities, where  farmers in Brinin Gwari had paid at least N400m in taxes in the past two years. How much taxes did El-Rufai (who has become unusually  taciturn of late) collect from them within this period?  However, he is ON TOP of the situation! There was a report that BH has killed at least 33127 in 10 years,   killed 7222 and abducted 3823 between Jan and July 2022 with NE, NC and NW highest in that order and how, and killed 115 with 131 abductions in January 2022 alone with 15 killed on August 1  

The bandits had the audacity to  serve a quit-notice to 5 villages in Wase LGA of  Plateau State-  (Sabon Zama, Gindin Dutse, Anguwan Tsohon Soldier, Anguwan Yuhana and Anguwan Mangu)  failing which it would be war. A band of ‘good bandits’ had the liberty to abduct some  Zamfara health workers, collect N5m ransom, and eventually  changed their minds and returned both the captives and the N5m. By the way, government need to pay special attention to these good bandits of Zamfara. Last time, some of them arrested a petty thief, lectured him on the illegality and dangers of thievery and handed him over to the authority! Bandits also kidnapped 10 policemen returning from Osun elections, abducted 50 people at a sitting in Niger state and attacked the Kaduna Millennium City. They imposed a N12m tax  on farmers from Kwaga, Kwanan-Shehu, Unguwan Liman and Unguwan Shekarau in Kaduna state, and gave them a deadline; collected about N19 million  and a boat as a protection levy from residents of 14 communities in the Anka LGA of Zamfara. The citizens probably took a cue from the state government which gifted  15 brand new Hilux vehicles and cash  to leaders of different 'repentant' gangs of bandits in 2020.

                              Boat ‘donated’ to Bandits               a matter of priorities!

Sometimes ago, Lai had  accused the substantially defeated bandits of going after soft targets, In response, they re-strategised and became daring enough to attack Nigerian army convoys in Zamfara and Kastina and ambushed Presidential Guards in Abuja, all with casualties. They had also attacked several military camps and police formations across the land. They abducted 40 people in Kaduna, collected a ransom of N9m, changed their mind and upped it to N100m, just  as they demanded for additional N20m for DPO Mohammed  who received a baptism of fire (kidnapped) on his way to assume duty on the Brinin-Gwari highway. In faraway Niger Delta, another band of bandits, probably the corporate  and global bandits were also in operation,  stealing about 100m barrels ( worth about N8bn) of oil, our national commonwealth daily! It is another matter that while oil is our commonwealth, subject to FAAC ( Federation Account Allocation Committee) horse-trading, the gold in Zamfara  is a local affair, belonging to the government and its people! 

 As all these were happening, the government, through its  ‘yours obediently’ people (not OBIdiently!!) started giving assurance that  the terrorists  would be crushed by December 2022, that PMB efforts on security were unmatched and that he would leave Nigeria safer and more secured before 29/5/23. I wondered the kind of magic he would perform  to enable them do in 7 months, what he could not do in the past 7 years. Indeed, PMB  gave those statements a presidential  stamp when he declared during the 2023 budget presentation( which he turned into a valedictory speech),  that  ‘insecurity, especially banditry and kidnapping will be significantly curtailed before the end of this administration… we ( will)  leave a legacy of peaceful, prosperous and secure nation’!  And then out of the blues, we were informed that the 23 passengers from the ill-fated ‘train-flight’ AK9 of  28/3/22 were free men and women. I share the joys of the captives, who passed through the valley of the shadow of death( Psalm 23:4); who were in the jaws of a lion still live to tell the tale! I also congratulate the relatives. Unfortunately, one of them was killed by bandits on his way home on the Funtua-Gusau Road in Kebbi state, on 8/10/22, just 3 days after his release from a grueling 190-day captivity. This is an indication that we must not just kill the snake, we must also  scourge its head

So, we are going beyond asking about our redline, to ask another crucial question. Were the captives released or were they rescued? This question is not  relevant to the captivity-alumni and their stakeholders, whose main concern is their freedom.  One curious development was that the rescue- operation was not handled by our longsuffering gallant forces  but by Chief of Defence Staff Action Committee (CDSAC), whose secretary, was/is Professor Usman Yusuf, an idle civilian like me. The press release announcing this ‘great feat’ applauded the government and military high command for the success. It was also learnt that bandits had their own demands on the government, which was agreed in principle but  they shifted the goalpost at the last minute, leading to another round of pleadings and assurances . No further details were given except that the government adopted non kinetic-strategy and deployed social power in the process.  We were not told  whether  there was a prisoner-swap deal or fierce gun-battle. Why was there no detailed  minute-by-minute  account as America did when thy ‘deleted’ Osama Bin Laden and his successor, Al-Zawahiri? Like in the past when Buratai  lectured us on the difference between security and defense, we were lectured on the elements of national power, which were natural and social, that could be used jointly and/or severally. It is thus obvious that they were released, through the benevolence, of their abductors, softened with some carrots; they were not rescued by our military men supported by the federal might.

 If they were released, which appears to be the case, it means that we have taken our policy of appeasement a notch higher; it means that they had shown magnanimity by releasing these unfortunate victims and they would take another set whenever  they wanted; it means that we have agreed, through body language, that  they should go on with their bloody and deadly business.  When we remember that the kidnappers had earlier stated that  PMB knew what they wanted, that those who attacked the train were the same who attacked Kuje and the rumoured release of 101 BH detainees from detention, around the same period, it becomes obvious that  nothing has changed because the bandits were  paid to release the 23 remaining captives. The payment might not be in cash because they had earlier declared that they did not want cash from the Nigerian government.  After the surreptitious release of 101 BH inmates, ( 6 am,8/10/22) from Kirikiri the government informed us that they had plans to release 30% of prison inmates  since 75% of them were ATM and 90% broke state laws. There were also rumours that the bandits had earlier received 30 of the detained comrades but failed to release the kidnappees, an indication that there had been behind the scene negotiations all along.

There were no assurances that it would be the last there  was no stern warnings or a never again statement; there was no assurance to  bring the terrorists to book( this book must have been so clustered). The bandits, who destroyed our train( bought on loan from China), killed our compatriots, collected billions from the kidnappees,  overwhelmed aur security officials and finished our Kuje prison, threatened to kidnap our dear president and caused other macroeconomic disruption in this one single business, have  been forgiven;  behold, all things have become anew( 2 Cor,5:17) No terrorist was killed, non was arrested and charged  for military and economic terrorism. Which other  way is there to encourage them to go on? I agree  that by this kinetic-induced release, kidnapping incorporated  has been legitimized and the recent exercise had given them the certificate of incorporation.  I also agree with  one analysit who said  that ‘The winners are the terrorists who achieved their objectives: cash and freedom of their colleagues without any  material or human, no losses

There are three burning questions:. Why  have some arrested BH terrorist been in detention since 2009, for 13 years? If the FG   could use kinetic, social power, why wait till  people have died, Kuje prison desecrated, and families impoverished via ransoms before acting? And finally why did the FG not apply this highly effective social power to Igboho and Nnamdi Kanu?

We have been managing these terrorists( BH, Fulani herdsmen, bandits) in ways that are intriguing and  truly Nigerian, which consequently increase their insuperability. First,  the President advised us  not to  retaliate  but rather to be accommodative towards the terrorists; Femi Adesina advised  that it was better to be alive, landless,  rather than a dead land-owner( your life or your land declaration) and then, we went into excuses and blame-trading, with the Military accusing some foreign countries collaborating with the locals, defeated and disgruntled politicians and poorly committed soldiers of  responsibility. The governor of Kastina  State accused some traditional rulers, volunteers( Yansakai),  informants and members of AE-APC( Amalgamated Enemies of APC). In effect, the authorities  established the Excuses and Blame-Trading Exchange, just  like the Nigerian Stock Exchange! ( See Ik Muo[23/7/20], Insecurity, From Abaribe to Northern Groups to EBTE) .Now  we have adopted  a full-blown  laisser-faire  model, what  our people term ‘egbe-belu ugo belu’ (live and let live)! After all,  the great Lai told us that the Government knew ( and still knows) where the bandits were and later, that they were just as ordinary and harmless as area-boys. That is why those who destroyed our train, killed  and impoverished our people were asked to go and sin no more( John,8:11); that is why  Ado Alero, a certified bandit declared wanted  by Kastina  State for killing at least 100 Nigerians was turbaned  with fanfare in Zamfara and that is why Turji, another  certified terrorist accused the government of betrayal and breach of trust by attacking  ‘his camp’.  He announced that he had not attacked anybody in the previous 5 months and then boasted defiantly that “I am ready for either peace or war. Whatever the government wants, we can give them a multitude”.  Of course, he is justified because the State Deputy Governor, Hassan Nasiha had just canonized him (a living saint!), cleansing him of all iniquities declaring that he had repented and become a peace maker!  In any case, as some disgruntled soldiers had  squealed, bandits and BH operatives were government pickins, treated with utmost care! Is this how we shall have a more secured country before 29/5/23?

                               Aleru & Turgi, Certified, untouchable bandit generalissimos

On Saturday,15/10/22, terrorists attacked Ngulu Community in Niger State, killing some and kidnapping others.  Three days later (Tuesday18/10/20), the bandits  notified the terrified community of another ‘visit’ on 30/10/22    And just the other day, Gusau, Tsafe and Gummi  LGAs in Zamfara were locked down due to  increasing activities and killings by bandits while  there is tension in whole of Abuja because the US warned of elevated risk of terror attacks in Nigeria, specifically in Abuja,  a position also held by Canada and Australia. The US went a step further to evacuate it’s non-emergency staff from Nigeria.  Boxes of explosives were discovered at Trademoney Estate Abuja and  earlier, one Nafiu, a soldier attached to the Muhammadu Buhari Cantonment, Tungan Maje, Federal Capital Territory, was arrested by operatives of the Department of State Services for allegedly hiring out and selling guns to kidnappers. The Jabi Lake Mall has voluntarily closed shop and we were reminded that the herdsmen are still ‘on duty’ when one of them, Bagudu Usman,   led his cattle into Kefas Luka’s  farm and chopped off his hand   for attempting to picture the scene. There are even the fake news flying around that Abuja would fall- whatever that means, within a week! As this is going on, the great Lai bold-facedly announced that Terrorists have been hard hit and put on the run. Bandits have been decimated and scattered. Our country is safer today than at any time in recent times. In Nigeria?  What manner of security  and peace is this? Are we finished or are we completely finished?

 

On 11/2/20, during the burial of the murdered Seminarian, Michael Nnadi in Kaduna, Bishop Kukah reviewed the state of insecurity in Nigeria and declared that

'our years of hypocrisy, duplicity, fabricated integrity, false piety, empty morality,

fraud and pharessesm have caught up with us'.  The Bishop, a genuine one, has spoken;I cannot agree more!

 I am through but I want to leave with David Carlton’s immortal words on the  failure-bound strategy called appeasement Practitioners of appeasement are usually held to be willing, in an ignoble and or cowardly fashion, to sacrifice other peoples territories or rights in an attempt to buy off an aggressor or a wrong doer. Appeasement never succeeds for long; the aggressor always returns demanding for further concessions! Pay particular attention to the last sentence: Appeasement does not succeed for long because the aggressor always returns to demand for further concessions.

Meanwhile, lets await  the peace flowing like a river come 29/5/23 as promised by PMB.


 Ik Muo, PhD. FCIB. Department of Business Administration, OOU, Ago-Iwoye. 08033026624

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